10 Nov · 02:25 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
MW
🇵🇱Miroslaw Warzecha
ELO 1626
FormWWWWL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Warzecha
AS
🇵🇱Adam Staniczek
ELO 1377
FormLLLWL
75%
25%
Fair odds · Warzecha
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 78% · 1.29· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~72 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+249
H2H74-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+249)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (74-10)