10 Nov · 03:10 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
GM
🇵🇱Grzegorz Marud
ELO 1546
FormLLWLW
67%Win chancemodel fair 1.49Marud
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1388
FormWLWWL
67%
33%
🌟Marud stays under total as favourite 76% (45)
Fair odds · Marud
Model 67% · 1.49vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
13%
2-3
12%
Elo Gap+158
H2H68-36
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+158)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (68-36)