10 Nov · 03:30 MEZLow · Slight Edge
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1472
FormWLWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Adamus
OV
🇵🇱Oliver Vincenec
ELO 1441
FormWWLWW
53%
47%
🌟Adamus rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (38)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 62% · 1.62· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~78 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+31
H2H22-20
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.