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10 Nov · 03:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMichal Machelski
🇵🇱Michal Machelski
ELO 1382
3-1Final setsMachelski won
JSJakub Skorupa
🇵🇱Jakub Skorupa
ELO 1479
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skorupa at 57%. The actual result was Michal Machelski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Skorupa favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Set handicap
Jakub Skorupa −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jakub Skorupa −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Machelski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Skorupa.

▲ Michal Machelskipre 46% → final 99%
Jakub Skorupa ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsMachelski recovered from 39%71 points · 4 games