10 Nov · 06:50 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
ML
🇵🇱Marian Lebek
ELO 1524
FormLWLWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1630
FormLWWLW
38%
62%
🌟Lebek stays under total as underdog 73% (33)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 59% · 1.68· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H30-27
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (30-27)