10 Nov · 06:20 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1479
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Adamus
PA
🇵🇱Pawel Adamus
ELO 1553
FormWLWWW
42%
58%
🌟Adamus covers set handicap as underdog 88% (26)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 55% · 1.83· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+74
H2H13-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-10)