10 Nov · 07:10 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1521
FormWWLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ruszkiewicz
PK
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1499
FormWLWWW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kurek🌟Ruszkiewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (35)
Fair odds · Ruszkiewicz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+22
H2H8-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.