10 Nov · 07:05 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
RK
🇵🇱Rafal Komandzik
ELO 1295
FormLLLLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Nowak
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1405
FormWWLWL
38%
62%
🌟Nowak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 21% (19)
Fair odds · Nowak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 57% · 1.76· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~79 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H3-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-2)