10 Nov · 07:15 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1613
FormLLLWW
64%Win chancemodel fair 1.56Wloczko
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1745
FormWLWLW
36%
64%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kapik🌟Kapik covers set handicap as underdog 67% (197)
Fair odds · Wloczko
Model 64% · 1.56vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~77 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
23%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+132
H2H28-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+132)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (28-19)