10 Nov · 07:35 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1474
FormLLLLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Hetnar
KH
🇵🇱Krzysztof Hetnar
ELO 1621
FormLLWWL
34%
66%
🌟Idaczyk stays under total as underdog 68% (105)
Fair odds · Hetnar
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+147
H2H18-8
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-8)