10 Nov · 09:10 MEZLow · Coin Flip
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1497
FormLWLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1502
FormWWLWL
49%
51%
🌟Skotniczny covers set handicap as underdog 79% (14)
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 45% · 2.24· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H11-24
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.