10 Nov · 08:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
RI
🇵🇱Rafal Idaczyk
ELO 1474
FormLLLLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Ruszkiewicz
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1526
FormWLWWL
44%
56%
🌟Ruszkiewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 20% (35)
Fair odds · Ruszkiewicz
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.27· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+52
H2H12-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+52)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-11)