10 Nov · 10:20 MEZLow · Slight Edge
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1471
FormLLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Ptak
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1486
FormWLLLW
48%
52%
Fair odds · Ptak
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 47% · 2.11· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+15
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.