10 Nov · 10:30 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1830
FormLLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Sklensky
GP
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1718
FormWLLWL
62%
38%
Fair odds · Sklensky
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 68% · 1.47· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~75 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+112
H2H52-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (52-13)