10 Nov · 19:20 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
KD
🇵🇱Kamil Durak
ELO 1655
FormWWWLW
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Durak
JN
🇵🇱Jakub Nowak
ELO 1412
FormWWWLW
75%
25%
🌟Nowak goes over total as underdog 65% (91)
Fair odds · Durak
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 73% · 1.37· vig 6%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 59%Total ~77 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
27%
3-2
15%
2-3
11%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+243
H2H4-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+243)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-0)