10 Nov · 17:45 MEZMedium · Model Lean
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1532
FormWWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1588
FormWWLWW
44%
56%
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H35-39
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)