10 Nov · 19:45 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
PM
🇵🇱Patryk Mecik
ELO 1340
FormLLWLW
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Oracz
LO
🇵🇱Lukasz Oracz
ELO 1478
FormLWLLW
35%
65%
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~73 pts
1-3
25%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
14%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+138
H2H14-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+138)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-6)