10 Nov · 18:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
SB
🇵🇱Szymon Brud
ELO 1532
FormWWWWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Pietraszko
LP
🇵🇱Lukasz Pietraszko
ELO 1564
FormWWLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Pietraszko
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
15%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+32
H2H6-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.