10 Nov · 12:30 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MJ
🇵🇱Marcin Jadczyk
ELO 1802
FormWWWLL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Jadczyk
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1725
FormLLWWL
58%
42%
🌟Kuzmicz covers set handicap as underdog 68% (189)
Fair odds · Jadczyk
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
19%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+77
H2H17-19
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+77)