10 Nov · 12:40 MEZLow · Coin Flip
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1478
FormLLWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1481
FormLLLWW
50%
50%
🌟Ptak stays under total as underdog 65% (43)
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.40· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+3
H2H5-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.