10 Nov · 14:15 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mleczko
ELO 1474
FormWLWWL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1583
FormLWWLW
38%
62%
🌟Mleczko goes over total as underdog 63% (19)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 65% · 1.53· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~77 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H19-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (19-13)