10 Nov · 14:20 MEZLow · Coin Flip
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1469
FormLLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Adamus
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1474
FormWLWLL
49%
51%
🌟Ptak stays under total as underdog 67% (45)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.02· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H4-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.