10 Nov · 14:35 MEZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1819
FormLWWLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sklensky
KS
🇵🇱Konrad Staszczyk
ELO 1772
FormWLLWW
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Staszczyk
Fair odds · Sklensky
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
22%
1-3
18%
3-0
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+47
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+47)