10 Nov · 14:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
AS
🇵🇱Artur Sobel
ELO 1488
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Solilo
DS
🇵🇱Dominik Solilo
ELO 1512
FormLWWWW
47%
53%
Fair odds · Solilo
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
15%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+24
H2H11-15
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.