10 Nov · 14:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1472
3-0Final setsPtak won
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1472
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Gajda at 52%. The actual result was Wiktor Ptak 3-0 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Rafal Gajda favoured — closing 1.85
Total 75.5
52 points played
Set handicap
Rafal Gajda −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Rafal Gajda −0.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Wiktor Ptak is favoured to win, below means Rafal Gajda.
▲ Wiktor Ptakpre 44% → final 77%
Rafal Gajda ▼
Biggest swing 58 ptsPtak recovered from 28%72 points · 5 games