10 Nov · 16:15 MEZLow · Slight Edge
KS
🇵🇱Konrad Staszczyk
ELO 1767
FormLWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Staszczyk
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1734
FormWWLLL
54%
46%
🌟Kuzmicz covers set handicap as underdog 68% (189)
Fair odds · Staszczyk
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 38% · 2.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
18%
3-0
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+33
H2H9-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.