10 Nov · 16:45 MEZLow · Slight Edge
KA
🇵🇱Kacper Adamus
ELO 1490
FormWWWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Adamus
RG
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1472
FormLWLWW
52%
48%
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 1.98· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H57-58
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.