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10 Nov · 16:10 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JOJan Orszulik
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1469
3-2Final setsOrszulik won
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1430
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Orszulik at 53%. The actual result was Jan Orszulik 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jan Orszulik favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 75.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jan Orszulik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jan Orszulik −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jan Orszulik is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Jurowicz.

▲ Jan Orszulikpre 57% → final 100%
Grzegorz Jurowicz ▼
Biggest swing 81 ptsOrszulik recovered from 19%72 points · 5 games