10 Nov · 18:40 MEZLow · Slight Edge
WP
🇵🇱Wiktor Ptak
ELO 1471
FormWLWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Jadach
OJ
🇵🇱Oskar Jadach
ELO 1490
FormLWLWW
48%
52%
🌟Ptak stays under total as underdog 67% (45)
Fair odds · Jadach
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
19%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+19
H2H6-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.