10 Nov · 18:15 MEZLow · Coin Flip
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1285
FormWWLLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Lukaszewski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1273
FormLLWLL
51%
49%
🌟Lukaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (15)
Fair odds · Lukaszewski
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 51% · 1.98· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H60-57
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.