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10 Nov · 18:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1536
3-0Final setsSkotniczny won
RGRafal Gajda
🇵🇱Rafal Gajda
ELO 1480
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 55%. The actual result was Rafal Skotniczny 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 75.5
61 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
4.35
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Rafal Skotniczny is favoured to win, below means Rafal Gajda.

▲ Rafal Skotnicznypre 59% → final 11%
Rafal Gajda ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsGajda recovered from 16%72 points · 5 games