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10 Nov · 18:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1496
0-3Final setsJurowicz won
GJGrzegorz Jurowicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Jurowicz
ELO 1455
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 59%. The actual result was Grzegorz Jurowicz 0-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Koczyba favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 74.5
62 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Grzegorz Jurowicz.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 56% → final 6%
Grzegorz Jurowicz ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsJurowicz recovered from 24%61 points · 3 games