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10 Nov · 18:45 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1298
3-2Final setsLukaszewski won
MPMiroslaw Piecowski
🇵🇱Miroslaw Piecowski
ELO 1249
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lukaszewski at 52%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mikolaj Lukaszewski favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 75.5
111 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Miroslaw Piecowski.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 49% → final 99%
Miroslaw Piecowski ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsLukaszewski recovered from 31%72 points · 5 games