10 Nov · 20:25 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
WU
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1487
FormLLWWL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Kaczynski
PK
🇵🇱Piotr Kaczynski
ELO 1576
FormLWWWW
40%
60%
🌟Urban covers set handicap as underdog 63% (83)
Fair odds · Kaczynski
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 42%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
13%
Elo Gap+89
H2H6-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-4)