10 Nov · 20:45 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1496
FormLLLLW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Tkocz
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1594
FormWWWWW
39%
61%
🌟Koczyba rarely covers set handicap as underdog 33% (18)
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 48% · 2.08· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~74 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
22%
3-1
15%
2-3
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+98
H2H33-53
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+98)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)