10 Nov · 20:45 MEZElite · Strong Favorite
MZ
🇵🇱Marcin Zielinski
ELO 1672
FormWWLWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Zielinski
DB
🇵🇱Dominik Bartosik
ELO 1463
FormWLLLL
72%
28%
🔥 Underdog lean · Bartosik🌟Zielinski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (18)
Fair odds · Zielinski
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 57%Total ~75 pts
3-0
31%
3-1
26%
3-2
15%
2-3
12%
1-3
11%
Elo Gap+209
H2H4-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+209)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (4-2)