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10 Nov · 20:40 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BWBartlomiej Wisniewski
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1280
3-0Final setsWisniewski won
DSDariusz Szlubowski
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1418
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szlubowski at 67%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Wisniewski 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dariusz Szlubowski favoured — closing 1.4
Upset
Total 74.5
54 points played
Under
Set handicap
Dariusz Szlubowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dariusz Szlubowski −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
12
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Wisniewski is favoured to win, below means Dariusz Szlubowski.

▲ Bartlomiej Wisniewskipre 35% → final 98%
Dariusz Szlubowski ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsWisniewski recovered from 32%53 points · 3 games