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DeuceLab
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10 Nov · 21:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MKMariusz Koczyba
🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba
ELO 1479
1-3Final setsUrban won
WUWojciech Urban
🇵🇱Wojciech Urban
ELO 1515
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 55%. The actual result was Wojciech Urban 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mariusz Koczyba favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 75.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mariusz Koczyba −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Wojciech Urban.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 59% → final 3%
Wojciech Urban ▼
Biggest swing 83 ptsUrban recovered from 16%72 points · 4 games