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10 Nov · 21:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1276
0-3Final setsRolak won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1319
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rolak at 53%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mikolaj Lukaszewski favoured — closing 1.8
Upset
Set handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mikolaj Lukaszewski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mikolaj Lukaszewski is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Mikolaj Lukaszewskipre 43% → final 0%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 47 pts52 points · 3 games