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DeuceLab
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10 Nov · 22:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MZMarcin Zielinski
🇵🇱Marcin Zielinski
ELO 1686
3-1Final setsZielinski won
PGPiotr Gesiarz
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1558
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Zielinski at 63%. The actual result was Marcin Zielinski 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Zielinski favoured — closing 1.5
Favourite won
Total 74.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marcin Zielinski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Marcin Zielinski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marcin Zielinski is favoured to win, below means Piotr Gesiarz.

▲ Marcin Zielinskipre 67% → final 92%
Piotr Gesiarz ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsZielinski recovered from 32%72 points · 4 games