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10 Nov · 22:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1324
3-1Final setsSkorski won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1319
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Rolak at 51%. The actual result was Michal Skorski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Skorski favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 77.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Skorski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Skorski −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.15
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Skorski is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Michal Skorskipre 45% → final 83%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsSkorski recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games