11 Nov · 00:20 MEZMedium · Model Lean
DB
🇵🇱Dominik Bartosik
ELO 1482
FormWWLWL
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Gesiarz
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1558
FormLLLLW
42%
58%
🌟Bartosik covers set handicap as underdog 65% (23)
Fair odds · Gesiarz
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+76
H2H1-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)