10 Nov · 23:55 MEZLow · Slight Edge
JO
🇵🇱Jacek Oracz
ELO 1665
FormWLLWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Oracz
AZ
🇵🇱Artur Zmijewski
ELO 1651
FormLWLWL
52%
48%
🌟Zmijewski covers set handicap as underdog 63% (30)
Fair odds · Oracz
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 53% · 1.90· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~80 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
19%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+14
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.