10 Nov · 23:55 MEZLow · Coin Flip
ML
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1276
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Wisniewski
BW
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Wisniewski
ELO 1280
FormWWLLL
50%
50%
🌟Lukaszewski covers set handicap as underdog 72% (32)
Fair odds · Wisniewski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.03· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
20%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+4
H2H57-61
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.