11 Nov · 00:00 MEZHigh · Clear Favorite
MT
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1590
FormLWWWW
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Tkocz
JO
🇵🇱Jan Orszulik
ELO 1473
FormWLLWW
63%
37%
Fair odds · Tkocz
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
3-1
24%
3-0
23%
3-2
15%
1-3
15%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+117
H2H20-14
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (20-14)