11 Jul · 21:20 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
KR
🇵🇱Kazimierz Rybak
ELO 1297
FormLWLWL
79%Win chancemodel fair 1.27Karpiuk
MK
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1594
FormWWLWW
21%
79%
🌟Karpiuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (31)
Fair odds · Karpiuk
Model 79% · 1.27vsMarket 72% · 1.40· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 63%Total ~71 pts
0-3
34%
1-3
29%
2-3
16%
3-2
9%
3-1
8%
Elo Gap+297
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+297)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)