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MKMateusz Karpiuk

Mateusz Karpiuk

FormWWWWW
🔥 5 win streak
1550
Elo Rating
#121
Rank
46.8%
Win Rate

Mateusz Karpiuk is ranked #121 in TT Elite Series with an Elo of 1550 (peak 1611, lowest 1380). Across 314 tracked matches — a 46.8% win rate. Currently on a 5-match winning streak.

Elo Trend

Last 40 matches

Current 1550Peak 1611Lowest 1380Tracked 314
Cover splits

How often this player covered the closing line — overall, then split by favourite / underdog. Historical record against real bookmaker lines, not a tip. Green = reliable cover, amber = soft.

Set handicapoverall
46%102/222 covered
as favourite
30%31/103
as underdog
60%71/119
Points handicapoverall
50%10/20 covered
as favourite
50%3/6
as underdog
50%7/14
Total pointsover / under · 240
62%over38%under
Total setsover / under · 20
40%over60%under
Match shape · after 2 sets

How matches usually stand after two sets, and what he makes of it — from 310 completed matches. Descriptive, not a tip.

22% leads 2–055% level 1–124% trails 0–2
Holds 2–0
91%n=68
wins after leading 2–0
Wins the decider
47%n=169
wins after 1–1
Comeback 0–2
7%n=73
wins after trailing 0–2
Line history

Past matches vs the closing line — set & points handicap (covered = W/L), total points and total sets (O/U). Real lines, not tips.

MatchSet HCPts HCTotalSets
Kacper Kwiatkowski3-225 Sep 02:35-1.5 L-0.5 W77.5→91 O4.5 O
Jerzy Michalik3-225 Sep 01:25-1.5 L-2.5 W—4.5 O
Michal Guzik3-125 Sep 00:10+1.5 W+8.5 W72.5→78 O4.5 U
Jakub Skorupa3-124 Sep 22:55-1.5 W-1.5 L76.5→81 O4.5 U
Andriej Fomin3-024 Sep 21:20+1.5 W+3.5 W—4.5 U
Michal Guzik1-324 Sep 20:30+1.5 L+7.5 L75.5→74 U4.5 U
Jerzy Michalik1-324 Sep 19:20+1.5 L+1.5 L75.5→88 O4.5 U
Kacper Kwiatkowski1-324 Sep 18:10+1.5 L+0.5 L74.5→77 O4.5 U
Jakub Skorupa3-224 Sep 16:55+1.5 W-1.5 L76.5→90 O4.5 O
Andriej Fomin3-224 Sep 15:25+1.5 W+3.5 W—4.5 O
Jacek Zelezik1-324 Sep 04:40+1.5 L+4.5 L77.5→79 O4.5 U
Witold Stechly3-124 Sep 03:05-1.5 W-9.5 L—4.5 U
Henryk Tkaczyk3-224 Sep 02:20+1.5 W+8.5 W—4.5 O
Kacper Kwiatkowski2-324 Sep 01:30+1.5 W+0.5 L74.5→99 O4.5 O
Miroslaw Warzecha1-324 Sep 00:20+1.5 L+6.5 L—4.5 U
Jacek Zelezik2-323 Sep 22:40+1.5 W+5.5 W—4.5 O
Janus Slawomir3-023 Sep 21:05+1.5 W+2.5 W—4.5 U
Miroslaw Warzecha1-323 Sep 20:20+1.5 L+6.5 L72.5→75 O4.5 U
Kacper Kwiatkowski3-123 Sep 19:30+1.5 W+2.5 W73.5→101 O4.5 U
Henryk Tkaczyk3-223 Sep 18:20+1.5 W+8.5 W70.5→88 O4.5 O
Overall cover record
Set HC: 102/222 · 46%
Pts HC: 10/20 · 50%
Totals: 149 Over · 91 Under · 62% over
Total sets: 8 Over · 12 Under · 40% over

Prediction History

Past matches with the model's predicted win probability and the real result.

✓
vs Kacper Kwiatkowski
25 Sep · 02:35 UTC
52%Won 3-2✓
vs Jerzy Michalik
25 Sep · 01:25 UTC
55%Won 3-2✓
vs Michal Guzik
25 Sep · 00:10 UTC
34%Won 3-1✓
vs Jakub Skorupa
24 Sep · 22:55 UTC
58%Won 3-1✓
vs Andriej Fomin
24 Sep · 21:20 UTC
44%Won 3-0✕
vs Michal Guzik
24 Sep · 20:30 UTC
35%Lost 1-3✕
vs Jerzy Michalik
24 Sep · 19:20 UTC
56%Lost 1-3✕
vs Kacper Kwiatkowski
24 Sep · 18:10 UTC
53%Lost 1-3✓
vs Jakub Skorupa
24 Sep · 16:55 UTC
56%Won 3-2✓
vs Andriej Fomin
24 Sep · 15:25 UTC
41%Won 3-2✕
vs Jacek Zelezik
24 Sep · 04:40 UTC
42%Lost 1-3✓
vs Witold Stechly
24 Sep · 03:05 UTC
80%Won 3-1✓
vs Henryk Tkaczyk
24 Sep · 02:20 UTC
33%Won 3-2✕
vs Kacper Kwiatkowski
24 Sep · 01:30 UTC
54%Lost 2-3✕
vs Miroslaw Warzecha
24 Sep · 00:20 UTC
27%Lost 1-3✕
vs Jacek Zelezik
23 Sep · 22:40 UTC
43%Lost 2-3✓
vs Janus Slawomir
23 Sep · 21:05 UTC
48%Won 3-0✕
vs Miroslaw Warzecha
23 Sep · 20:20 UTC
29%Lost 1-3✓
vs Kacper Kwiatkowski
23 Sep · 19:30 UTC
54%Won 3-1✓
vs Henryk Tkaczyk
23 Sep · 18:20 UTC
25%Won 3-2✓
vs Jerzy Michalik
23 Sep · 05:05 UTC
52%Won 3-1✕
vs Mateusz Baran
23 Sep · 03:55 UTC
60%Lost 2-3✓
vs Marian Brunner
23 Sep · 02:45 UTC
60%Won 3-1✓
vs Kamil Delikatny
23 Sep · 01:30 UTC
50%Won 3-0✓
vs Kacper Kwiatkowski
22 Sep · 23:55 UTC
48%Won 3-0✓
vs Marian Brunner
22 Sep · 23:05 UTC
57%Won 3-1✓
vs Mateusz Baran
22 Sep · 21:55 UTC
57%Won 3-2✓
vs Piotr Gesiarz
22 Sep · 20:45 UTC
51%Won 3-1✕
vs Kamil Delikatny
22 Sep · 19:30 UTC
51%Lost 0-3✓
vs Kacper Kwiatkowski
22 Sep · 17:55 UTC
46%Won 3-1