11 Jul · 19:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
PG
🇵🇱Piotr Gesiarz
ELO 1488
FormWLWWW
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Karpiuk
MK
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1594
FormWWLWW
38%
62%
🌟Karpiuk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (31)
Fair odds · Karpiuk
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 10%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 46%Total ~72 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+106
H2H0-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+106)