Tomasz Kocik vs Mateusz Karpiuk — TT Elite Series

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11 Jul · 20:03 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Tomasz Kocik

ELO 1513

1-3Final setsKarpiuk won

🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk

ELO 1560

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Karpiuk at 58%. The actual result was Mateusz Karpiuk 1-3 — the pick was correct.

Tomasz Kocik — profile →Mateusz Karpiuk — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Tomasz Kocik favoured — closing 1.55

Upset

Total 73.5

77 points played

Over

Set handicap

Tomasz Kocik −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Tomasz Kocik −4.5 points

No cover

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Under

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Tomasz Kocik is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Karpiuk.

▲ Tomasz Kocikpre 38% → final 4%

Mateusz Karpiuk ▼

Biggest swing 40 pts72 points · 4 games