15 Jul · 23:20 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
MK
🇵🇱Mateusz Karpiuk
ELO 1511
FormWWWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Fomin
AF
🇵🇱Andriej Fomin
ELO 1622
FormLLLLW
38%
62%
🌟Fomin goes over total as favourite 65% (34)
Fair odds · Fomin
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~78 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+111
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+111)